Tennis · ATP Tokyo · 30/09, 04:00

Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs

Team pages: Jiri Lehecka · Zizou Bergs

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Jiri Lehecka Zizou Bergs
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Lehecka 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWLWWWWW
Zizou Bergs 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWLWWWLL
Head-to-head
Jiri Lehecka 1–0 Zizou Bergs (1 last)
  • 18 Feb2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1568 · Zizou Bergs 1503
Jiri LeheckaZizou Bergs
Our model59%41%
Market74%26%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiri Lehecka (rating 1568 vs 1503).
  • Head-to-head: Jiri Lehecka 1–0 Zizou Bergs (1).
  • Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Jiri LeheckaZizou Bergs
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.91.5-1.5
Games (G-P)13.9-11.914.5-14.1
Aces5.77.5
Double faults2.95.9
1st serve %76.5%76.1%
Break %40.5%38.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 25 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.5
Over 22.5: 67% · 1.90 Under 22.5: 33% · 1.80

H2H · Jiri Lehecka 1 – 0 Zizou Bergs (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiri Lehecka 1–0 Zizou Bergs

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DateSetsGamesRes.
18/02/26
ATP Doha
2-012-3W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jiri Lehecka

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Learner Tien
Davis Cup
2-0 13-8 W
18/09 Ben Shelton
Davis Cup
2-0 12-8 W
04/09 Stefanos Tsitsipas
US Open · Hard
1-3 14-21 L
03/09 Toby Samuel
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-10 W
30/08 Pablo Carreno Busta
US Open · Hard
3-1 23-15 W
18/08 Arthur Fils
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 11-18 L
16/08 Matteo Berrettini
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
09/08 Rafael Jodar
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
07/08 Alexander Blockx
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/08 Vit Kopriva
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Zizou Bergs

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup
0-2 9-13 L
18/09 Lukas Neumayer
Davis Cup
2-1 14-12 W
05/09 Botic Van De Zandschulp
US Open · Hard
2-3 27-27 L
04/09 Jesper De Jong
US Open · Hard
3-1 21-19 W
02/09 Carlos Taberner
US Open · Hard
3-1 21-13 W
21/08 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
21/08 Andrea Pellegrino
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/08 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/08 Ben Shelton
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Sebastian Baez
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs?

Our model gives 68% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.