Prediction: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud
Team pages: Luciano Darderi · Casper Ruud
Prediction summary
Winner
Luciano Darderi
Casper Ruud
Estimated games
25.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luciano Darderi
3-7 (W-L)
Casper Ruud
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luciano Darderi
0–1
Casper Ruud
(1 last)
- 15 May0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luciano Darderi 1526 · Casper Ruud 1543
| Luciano Darderi | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Luciano Darderi 0–1 Casper Ruud (1).
- Note: Luciano Darderi makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Luciano Darderi | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.4 | 1.5-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-13.5 | 16.1-14.5 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 25.4% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.2
Over 22.5: 71% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 29% · 1.80
H2H · Luciano Darderi 0 – 1 Casper Ruud (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luciano Darderi 0–1 Casper Ruud
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 ATP Rome | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luciano Darderi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 05/09 | Dane Sweeny US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Casper Ruud
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Francisco Cerundolo Laver Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 19/09 | Fnu Nidunjianzan Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/09 | Rigele Te Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Hubert Hurkacz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 31/05 | Joao Fonseca French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 29/05 | Tommy Paul French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 30-28 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud?
Our model gives 63% to Casper Ruud, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.