Prediction: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rinky Hijikata
Team pages: Stefanos Tsitsipas · Rinky Hijikata
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Rinky Hijikata
Estimated games
24.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanos Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Rinky Hijikata
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefanos Tsitsipas
2–0
Rinky Hijikata
(2 last)
- 07 Oct2-0 12-6W
- 18 Jan3-0 18-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1557 · Rinky Hijikata 1521
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Rinky Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Stefanos Tsitsipas 2–0 Rinky Hijikata (2).
Statistics
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Rinky Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-13.5 | 11.6-12.4 |
| Aces | 9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.7
Over 22.5: 62% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 38% · 1.72
H2H · Stefanos Tsitsipas 2 – 0 Rinky Hijikata (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefanos Tsitsipas 2–0 Rinky Hijikata
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/23 ATP Shanghai | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/01/23 Australian Open | 3-0 | 18-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Yoshihito Nishioka ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Alex Molcan Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/09 | Norbert Gombos Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 31/08 | Arthur Fils US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Rinky Hijikata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Andrey Rublev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Felix Auger Aliassime US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-24 | L |
| 26/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Raphael Collignon ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 24/08 | Darwin Blanch ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Rinky Hijikata?
Our model gives 64% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.