Prediction: Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx
Team pages: Valentin Vacherot · Alexander Blockx
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Vacherot
Alexander Blockx
Estimated games
26.5Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Vacherot
5-5 (W-L)
Alexander Blockx
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Vacherot 1487 · Alexander Blockx 1569
| Valentin Vacherot | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Blockx (rating 1487 vs 1569).
- Alexander Blockx dominates on serve: 10.6 aces and 43.3% break avg.
- Alexander Blockx is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Valentin Vacherot makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Valentin Vacherot | Alexander Blockx | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-13.9 | 17.3-14.1 |
| Aces | 11.3 | 10.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 78.2% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 22% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.5 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +2
Over 24.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 36% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Vacherot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Otto Virtanen Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 18/09 | Eero Vasa Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Frances Tiafoe US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Kamil Majchrzak US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Alexander Blockx
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
| 05/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-13 | W |
| 03/09 | Marco Trungelliti US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 15/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 24/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx?
Our model gives 58% to Alexander Blockx, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.