Tennis · Challenger Porto · 28/09, 15:00
Prediction: Michael Geerts vs Joao Domingues
Team pages: Michael Geerts · Joao Domingues
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Geerts
Joao Domingues
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Geerts
7-3 (W-L)
Joao Domingues
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michael Geerts
1–0
Joao Domingues
(1 last)
- 22 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Geerts 1501 · Joao Domingues 1471
| Michael Geerts | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Michael Geerts 1–0 Joao Domingues (1).
Statistics
| Michael Geerts | Joao Domingues | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11 | 11.3-13.1 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 49.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Michael Geerts 1 – 0 Joao Domingues (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michael Geerts 1–0 Joao Domingues
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/22 Challenger Oeiras | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Geerts
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Vladyslav Orlov Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Robert M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Joao Domingues
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Geerts vs Joao Domingues?
Our model gives 61% to Michael Geerts, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.