Tennis · Challenger Porto · 28/09, 12:00
Prediction: Petr Nesterov vs Marko Topo
Team pages: Petr Nesterov · Marko Topo
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Nesterov
Marko Topo
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Nesterov
6-4 (W-L)
Marko Topo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Nesterov 1490 · Marko Topo 1516
| Petr Nesterov | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marko Topo makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Petr Nesterov | Marko Topo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.3 | 12-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Marko Topo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Kristijan Juhas M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Stefan Popovic M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Nikita Belozertsev M25 Zlatibor |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/09 | Caheer Warik M25 Zlatibor |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Nesterov vs Marko Topo?
Our model gives 54% to Marko Topo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.