Prediction: Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Team pages: Zachary Svajda · Aleksandar Kovacevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Zachary Svajda
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zachary Svajda
4-6 (W-L)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zachary Svajda
1–2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
(3 last)
- 17 Feb2-0 13-9W
- 19 Feb0-2 8-12L
- 02 Aug0-2 6-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zachary Svajda 1478 · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1469
| Zachary Svajda | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Zachary Svajda dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 42.3% break avg.
- Aleksandar Kovacevic dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Zachary Svajda 1–2 Aleksandar Kovacevic (3).
- Note: Aleksandar Kovacevic makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Zachary Svajda | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.7 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-14.7 | 11.3-13.2 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 8.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.1
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.83
H2H · Zachary Svajda 1 – 2 Aleksandar Kovacevic (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zachary Svajda 1–2 Aleksandar Kovacevic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 ATP Delray Beach | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/02/24 ATP Los Cabos | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/08/22 Challenger Lexington | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zachary Svajda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-23 | L |
| 02/09 | Daniel Altmaier US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Stefan Kozlov ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-23 | L |
| 02/07 | Kamil Majchrzak Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-22 | W |
| 30/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Aleksandar Kovacevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Vacherot US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 28/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Felix Balshaw ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Karen Khachanov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 02/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zachary Svajda vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Our model gives 60% to Zachary Svajda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.