Tennis · ATP Tokyo · 28/09, 05:30

Prediction: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron

Team pages: Jaume Munar · Marcos Giron

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Jaume Munar Marcos Giron
Estimated games
26.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaume Munar 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLWLLLLW
Marcos Giron 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLLW
Head-to-head
Jaume Munar 2–1 Marcos Giron (3 last)
  • 22 Jul2-0 13-8W
  • 30 Apr2-0 12-4W
  • 28 Sept1-2 12-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jaume Munar 1525 · Marcos Giron 1465
Jaume MunarMarcos Giron
Our model59%41%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jaume Munar (rating 1525 vs 1465).
  • Jaume Munar dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 42.4% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Jaume Munar 2–1 Marcos Giron (3).

Statistics

Jaume MunarMarcos Giron
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.7-1.41.2-1.5
Games (G-P)16.1-14.612.9-14.2
Aces6.54.3
Double faults3.92.9
1st serve %73%69%
Break %42.4%36.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 26.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.7
Over 22.5: 74% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 26% · 1.83

H2H · Jaume Munar 2 – 1 Marcos Giron (3)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaume Munar 2–1 Marcos Giron

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DateSetsGamesRes.
22/07/25
ATP Washington
2-013-8W
30/04/24
Challenger Aix en Provence
2-012-4W
28/09/21
ATP Sofia
1-212-18L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jaume Munar

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/09 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
11/09 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 14-8 W
08/09 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Seville · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
02/09 Arthur Rinderknech
US Open · Hard
0-3 13-20 L
30/08 Terence Atmane
US Open · Hard
3-2 29-25 W
02/08 Rinky Hijikata
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/07 Dominic Stephan Stricker
ATP Gstaad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/07 Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 18-22 L
02/07 Jacob Fearnley
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-14 W
30/06 Francisco Cerundolo
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 18-8 W

Marcos Giron

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Ignacio Buse
US Open · Hard
2-3 20-27 L
24/08 Dhakshineswar Suresh
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
13/08 Henrique Rocha
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
04/08 Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
01/08 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 14-10 W
28/07 Cruz Hewitt
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Andre Ilagan
ATP Washington · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
25/07 Aryan Shah
ATP Washington · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/07 Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 12-19 L
02/07 Quentin Halys
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron?

Our model gives 62% to Jaume Munar, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.