Prediction: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Taro Daniel
Team pages: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo · Taro Daniel
Prediction summary
Winner
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Taro Daniel
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
6-4 (W-L)
Taro Daniel
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1477 · Taro Daniel 1547
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taro Daniel (rating 1477 vs 1547).
Statistics
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-13.5 | 12.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 73% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.7
Over 23.5: 45% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 55% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Coleman Wong ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Jie Cui ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Ignacio Buse Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 19/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Gael Monfils US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 9-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Taro Daniel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 24/09 | Dane Sweeny ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Hayato Matsuoka ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Jake Delaney ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrew Johnson US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 54% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.