Prediction: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka
Team pages: Stefanos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Yoshihito Nishioka
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanos Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Yoshihito Nishioka
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1–0
Yoshihito Nishioka
(1 last)
- 21 May2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1564 · Yoshihito Nishioka 1553
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Yoshihito Nishioka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Stefanos Tsitsipas 1–0 Yoshihito Nishioka (1).
Statistics
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Yoshihito Nishioka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.9-13.9 | 12.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1 – 0 Yoshihito Nishioka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1–0 Yoshihito Nishioka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/21 ATP Lyon | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Alex Molcan Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/09 | Norbert Gombos Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Ben Shelton US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Jiri Lehecka US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 31/08 | Arthur Fils US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 27/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Valentin Royer ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Yoshihito Nishioka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02 | Coleman Wong ATP Delray Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/02 | Jurij Rodionov Davis Cup |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 12/01 | Nerman Fatic Australian Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/01 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Canberra · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/11 | Jason Jung Challenger Kobe · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 09/11 | James Duckworth Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/11 | James McCabe Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 07/11 | Akira Santillan Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 06/11 | Jason Jung Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Shinji Hazawa Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka?
Our model gives 73% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

