Tennis · ATP Tokyo · 28/09, 04:00

Prediction: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka

Team pages: Stefanos Tsitsipas

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Stefanos Tsitsipas Yoshihito Nishioka
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanos Tsitsipas 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLLLLLWL
Yoshihito Nishioka 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWWL
Head-to-head
Stefanos Tsitsipas 1–0 Yoshihito Nishioka (1 last)
  • 21 May2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1564 · Yoshihito Nishioka 1553
Stefanos TsitsipasYoshihito Nishioka
Our model52%48%
Market90%10%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Stefanos Tsitsipas 1–0 Yoshihito Nishioka (1).

Statistics

Stefanos TsitsipasYoshihito Nishioka
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) 78% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.7-1.11.6-0.9
Games (G-P)14.9-13.912.2-10.8
Aces8.52.5
Double faults3.61.3
1st serve %73.2%66.3%
Break %33.5%53%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.8

H2H · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1 – 0 Yoshihito Nishioka (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefanos Tsitsipas 1–0 Yoshihito Nishioka

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DateSetsGamesRes.
21/05/21
ATP Lyon
2-012-7W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Alex Molcan
Davis Cup
2-1 14-13 W
19/09 Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup
2-0 13-10 W
07/09 Ben Shelton
US Open · Hard
0-3 9-18 L
04/09 Jiri Lehecka
US Open · Hard
3-1 21-14 W
02/09 Lloyd Harris
US Open · Hard
3-1 25-20 W
31/08 Arthur Fils
US Open · Hard
3-1 23-17 W
27/08 Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/08 Jenson Brooksby
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
16/08 Felix Auger Aliassime
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
14/08 Valentin Royer
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 14-11 W

Yoshihito Nishioka

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/02 Coleman Wong
ATP Delray Beach · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
07/02 Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup
1-2 8-17 L
12/01 Nerman Fatic
Australian Open · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
05/01 Kyrian Jacquet
Challenger Canberra · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
11/11 Jason Jung
Challenger Kobe · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
09/11 James Duckworth
Challenger Taipei · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
08/11 James McCabe
Challenger Taipei · Hard
2-1 17-10 W
07/11 Akira Santillan
Challenger Taipei · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
06/11 Jason Jung
Challenger Taipei · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
04/11 Shinji Hazawa
Challenger Taipei · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Yoshihito Nishioka?

Our model gives 73% to Stefanos Tsitsipas, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.