Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak
Team pages: Lorenzo Sonego · Kamil Majchrzak
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Sonego
Kamil Majchrzak
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Sonego
6-4 (W-L)
Kamil Majchrzak
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Sonego 1484 · Kamil Majchrzak 1453
| Lorenzo Sonego | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Sonego | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-13.6 | 11.8-13.2 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 38% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.3 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +0.8
Over 23.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 45% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Sonego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/09 | James Duckworth ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 26-28 | L |
| 27/08 | James Duckworth ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/08 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Kamil Majchrzak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Bu Yunchaokete ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | James Duckworth Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentin Vacherot US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 30/08 | Hamad Medjedovic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Sonego vs Kamil Majchrzak?
Our model gives 52% to Kamil Majchrzak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.