Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 28/09, 03:30
Prediction: Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto
Team pages: Kenta Kawada · Natsuki Yamamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Kawada
Natsuki Yamamoto
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Kawada
3-7 (W-L)
Natsuki Yamamoto
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Kawada 1474 · Natsuki Yamamoto 1550
| Kenta Kawada | Natsuki Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natsuki Yamamoto (rating 1474 vs 1550).
- Note: Kenta Kawada makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Natsuki Yamamoto makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Kenta Kawada | Natsuki Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.2 | 11.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Kawada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Rin Kojima M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
Natsuki Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Xin Zhou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Xin Zhou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 25/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Kawada vs Natsuki Yamamoto?
Our model gives 69% to Natsuki Yamamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.