Tennis · Challenger Porto · 29/09, 11:00
Prediction: Otto Virtanen vs Tiago Pereira
Team pages: Otto Virtanen · Tiago Pereira
Prediction summary
Winner
Otto Virtanen
Tiago Pereira
Estimated games
26.3
Recent form · 10 last
Otto Virtanen
5-5 (W-L)
Tiago Pereira
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Otto Virtanen 1517 · Tiago Pereira 1502
| Otto Virtanen | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Otto Virtanen dominates on serve: 11 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Note: Otto Virtanen makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Otto Virtanen | Tiago Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-12.7 | 13.5-15 |
| Aces | 11 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Otto Virtanen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Valentin Vacherot Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Lucas Catarina Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Andrey Rublev US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-31 | L |
| 26/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Ugo Blanchet US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Vignesh Gogineni ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Otto Virtanen vs Tiago Pereira?
Our model gives 67% to Otto Virtanen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.