Tennis · Challenger Porto · 29/09, 11:00
Prediction: Moez Echargui vs Damir Dzumhur
Team pages: Moez Echargui · Damir Dzumhur
Prediction summary
Winner
Moez Echargui
Damir Dzumhur
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Moez Echargui
6-4 (W-L)
Damir Dzumhur
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Moez Echargui
0–2
Damir Dzumhur
(2 last)
- 20 Sept0-2 5-12L
- 04 Mar1-2 14-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moez Echargui 1523 · Damir Dzumhur 1514
| Moez Echargui | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Moez Echargui 0–2 Damir Dzumhur (2).
Statistics
| Moez Echargui | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13.6 | 12.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 31.9% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Moez Echargui 0 – 2 Damir Dzumhur (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moez Echargui 0–2 Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/23 Challenger Sibiu | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/03/22 Davis Cup | 1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moez Echargui
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 10/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 07/09 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Dellien US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Damir Dzumhur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Hubert Hurkacz US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-22 | L |
| 06/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 15/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moez Echargui vs Damir Dzumhur?
Our model gives 57% to Damir Dzumhur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.