Tennis · Challenger Porto · 29/09, 11:00
Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Tiago Torres
Team pages: Jerome Kym · Tiago Torres
Prediction summary
Winner
Jerome Kym
Tiago Torres
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jerome Kym
6-4 (W-L)
Tiago Torres
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1537 · Tiago Torres 1495
| Jerome Kym | Tiago Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerome Kym (rating 1537 vs 1495).
- Jerome Kym dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Note: Tiago Torres makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Jerome Kym | Tiago Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11 | 11.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 78.1% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerome Kym
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Colton Smith US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Dan Added US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Jay Clarke Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Tiago Torres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Tiago Torres?
Our model gives 63% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.