Tennis · Challenger Porto · 29/09, 11:00
Prediction: Cezar Cretu vs Henrique Rocha
Team pages: Cezar Cretu · Henrique Rocha
Prediction summary
Winner
Cezar Cretu
Henrique Rocha
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Cezar Cretu
5-5 (W-L)
Henrique Rocha
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1554 · Henrique Rocha 1500
| Cezar Cretu | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cezar Cretu (rating 1554 vs 1500).
Statistics
| Cezar Cretu | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.6 | 12-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 32.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cezar Cretu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Henrique Rocha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Mmoh US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Hubert Hurkacz Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Seong Chan Hong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Martin Damm ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cezar Cretu vs Henrique Rocha?
Our model gives 61% to Henrique Rocha, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.