Tennis · Challenger Porto · 29/09, 11:00
Prediction: Max Basing vs Mili Poljicak
Team pages: Max Basing · Mili Poljicak
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Basing
Mili Poljicak
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Max Basing
7-3 (W-L)
Mili Poljicak
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Basing 1566 · Mili Poljicak 1477
| Max Basing | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Basing (rating 1566 vs 1477).
Statistics
| Max Basing | Mili Poljicak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.6 | 10.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 24.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Basing
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Atakan Karahan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 24/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Vaal Urankar M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 29/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Basing vs Mili Poljicak?
Our model gives 59% to Max Basing, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.