Tennis · Challenger Porto · 27/09, 18:30
Prediction: Joao Domingues vs Vadym Ursu
Team pages: Joao Domingues · Vadym Ursu
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Domingues
Vadym Ursu
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Domingues
3-7 (W-L)
Vadym Ursu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Domingues 1458 · Vadym Ursu 1447
| Joao Domingues | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Joao Domingues | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-13 | 11.1-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 62.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Domingues
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Porto |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Tiago Cacao M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Dev Javia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Domingues vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model gives 54% to Vadym Ursu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.