Tennis · Challenger Porto · 27/09, 16:30
Prediction: Michael Geerts vs Vladyslav Orlov
Team pages: Michael Geerts · Vladyslav Orlov
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Geerts
Vladyslav Orlov
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Geerts
7-3 (W-L)
Vladyslav Orlov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Geerts 1497 · Vladyslav Orlov 1525
| Michael Geerts | Vladyslav Orlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Michael Geerts | Vladyslav Orlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12 | 11.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Geerts
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Robert M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Vladyslav Orlov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | David Eichenseher M25 Pozzuoli |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Poznan |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Borys Zgola M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Dominik Kellovsky M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Wojciech Marek M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Jakub Kusy M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Luca Castagnola M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Geerts vs Vladyslav Orlov?
Our model gives 56% to Michael Geerts, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.