Tennis · Challenger Porto · 27/09, 15:00
Prediction: Guilherme Valdoleiros vs Robin Bertrand
Team pages: Guilherme Valdoleiros · Robin Bertrand
Prediction summary
Winner
Guilherme Valdoleiros
Robin Bertrand
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Guilherme Valdoleiros
1-9 (W-L)
Robin Bertrand
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guilherme Valdoleiros 1412 · Robin Bertrand 1566
| Guilherme Valdoleiros | Robin Bertrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robin Bertrand (rating 1412 vs 1566).
- Robin Bertrand is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Guilherme Valdoleiros | Robin Bertrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.8-10.7 | 11.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guilherme Valdoleiros
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Blu Baker M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 16/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Niels Visker Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Daniel Marincas M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas M25 Porto |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Zach Stephens M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Robin Bertrand
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Philip Henning M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Joao Domingues M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Mathieu Scaglia Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guilherme Valdoleiros vs Robin Bertrand?
Our model gives 82% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.