Tennis · Challenger Porto · 27/09, 15:30
Prediction: Anton Matusevich vs Tiago Cacao
Team pages: Anton Matusevich · Tiago Cacao
Prediction summary
Winner
Anton Matusevich
Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Anton Matusevich
8-2 (W-L)
Tiago Cacao
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anton Matusevich
1–0
Tiago Cacao
(1 last)
- 25 May2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anton Matusevich 1533 · Tiago Cacao 1528
| Anton Matusevich | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Anton Matusevich 1–0 Tiago Cacao (1).
Statistics
| Anton Matusevich | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.4 | 12.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 77.3% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Anton Matusevich 1 – 0 Tiago Cacao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anton Matusevich 1–0 Tiago Cacao
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/22 M25 Mataro | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anton Matusevich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Emile Hudd M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Tiago Cacao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Patrick Schoen M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Alec Deckers M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Tiago Torres M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Oscar Weightman M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Adrien Burdet M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anton Matusevich vs Tiago Cacao?
Our model gives 61% to Anton Matusevich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.