Tennis · Challenger Porto · 27/09, 12:00
Prediction: Alexander Donski vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Team pages: Alexander Donski · Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Donski
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Donski
5-5 (W-L)
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Donski 1519 · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1539
| Alexander Donski | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexander Donski | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11 | 11-10 |
| Aces | 9.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Donski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/08 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Donski vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?
Our model gives 63% to Alejo Sanchez Quilez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.