Tennis · W75 Quinta Do Lago · 28/09, 12:00
Prediction: Jasmijn Gimbrere vs Paula Cembranos
Team pages: Jasmijn Gimbrere · Paula Cembranos
Prediction summary
Winner
Jasmijn Gimbrere
Paula Cembranos
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jasmijn Gimbrere
2-8 (W-L)
Paula Cembranos
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jasmijn Gimbrere 1422 · Paula Cembranos 1519
| Jasmijn Gimbrere | Paula Cembranos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paula Cembranos (rating 1422 vs 1519).
- Paula Cembranos is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jasmijn Gimbrere makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Paula Cembranos makes many double faults (8.4/match).
Statistics
| Jasmijn Gimbrere | Paula Cembranos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-12.2 | 12.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 8.4 |
| 1st serve % | 53.3% | 58% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jasmijn Gimbrere
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Manon Arcangioli W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Sohyun Park W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Laima Vladson W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Georgina Groth W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Louna Zoppas W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Amandine Hesse W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Paula Cembranos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Esther Lopez Alcaraz W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/09 | Seda Baslilar W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Charlotte Maurey W75 Le Neubourg |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Malaika Rapolu W50 Evora |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Evora |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Ekaterina Yashina W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Zoziya Kardava W15 Logrono |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/08 | Jenna Defalco W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Logrono |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jasmijn Gimbrere vs Paula Cembranos?
Our model gives 58% to Paula Cembranos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.