Tennis · W75 Quinta Do Lago · 27/09, 12:00
Prediction: Ashleigh Harvey vs Emma Slavikova
Team pages: Emma Slavikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashleigh Harvey
Emma Slavikova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ashleigh Harvey
3-7 (W-L)
Emma Slavikova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashleigh Harvey 1457 · Emma Slavikova 1536
| Ashleigh Harvey | Emma Slavikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Slavikova (rating 1457 vs 1536).
- Emma Slavikova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ashleigh Harvey makes many double faults (6.2/match).
- Note: Emma Slavikova makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Ashleigh Harvey | Emma Slavikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-11.5 | 11.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 52.2% | 64% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashleigh Harvey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Maribel Aguilar Gasperin W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Fernanda Torres Gomez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Kallista Liu W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alessandra Caceres W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Noemi Maines W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Abigayel Vosloo W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Yujin Kim W35 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Karla Popovic W35 Petit-Bourg |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/01 | Emma Van Poppel W35 Le Lamentin · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Emma Slavikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Estella Jaeger UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Emily Welker UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Daniela Ciobanu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Anna Jelinkova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/08 | Polina Skliar W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Lucie Petruzelova W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Sophia Ksandinov W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 31/07 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Katerina Mandelikova W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 29/07 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Bielsko Biala |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashleigh Harvey vs Emma Slavikova?
Our model gives 76% to Emma Slavikova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.