Tennis · WTA Singapore · 27/09, 11:00
Prediction: Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Talia Gibson
Team pages: Leylah Annie Fernandez · Talia Gibson
Prediction summary
Winner
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Talia Gibson
Estimated games
21.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leylah Annie Fernandez
8-2 (W-L)
Talia Gibson
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1566 · Talia Gibson 1512
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leylah Annie Fernandez (rating 1566 vs 1512).
- Note: Talia Gibson makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.6 | 12.1-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.3
Over 20.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Shuai Zhang US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Talia Gibson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Maria Sakkari WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 16/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Talia Gibson?
Our model gives 62% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.