Tennis · WTA Singapore · 25/09, 14:00
Prediction: Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson
Team pages: Maria Sakkari · Talia Gibson
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Sakkari
Talia Gibson
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Sakkari
7-3 (W-L)
Talia Gibson
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sakkari 1534 · Talia Gibson 1491
| Maria Sakkari | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Sakkari (rating 1534 vs 1491).
- Note: Talia Gibson makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Maria Sakkari | Talia Gibson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10 | 11.4-12.8 |
| Aces | 5 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +0.8
Over 21.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 45% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sakkari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Yulia Starodubtsewa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Robin Montgomery US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Talia Gibson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Fiona Ferro WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 16/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Lilli Tagger WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sakkari vs Talia Gibson?
Our model gives 61% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.