Tennis · WTA Singapore · 26/09, 12:00
Prediction: Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska
Team pages: Leylah Annie Fernandez · Maja Chwalinska
Prediction summary
Winner
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Maja Chwalinska
Estimated games
19.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leylah Annie Fernandez
9-1 (W-L)
Maja Chwalinska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1567 · Maja Chwalinska 1506
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leylah Annie Fernandez (rating 1567 vs 1506).
- Leylah Annie Fernandez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-7.8 | 9.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · -0.8
Over 20.5: 45% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 55% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Jessica Pegula US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Shuai Zhang US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Maja Chwalinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Elise Mertens WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Talia Gibson WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/06 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Maja Chwalinska?
Our model gives 59% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.