Tennis · WTA Singapore · 24/09, 05:00
Prediction: Maria Sakkari vs Nao Hibino
Team pages: Maria Sakkari · Nao Hibino
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Sakkari
Nao Hibino
Estimated games
20.6Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Sakkari
7-3 (W-L)
Nao Hibino
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Sakkari
2–0
Nao Hibino
(2 last)
- 14 Jan2-0 12-5W
- 22 Jan2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Sakkari 1527 · Nao Hibino 1559
| Maria Sakkari | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Maria Sakkari 2–0 Nao Hibino (2).
Statistics
| Maria Sakkari | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.1 | 10.8-8.5 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.1
Over 19.5: 58% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 42% · 1.80
H2H · Maria Sakkari 2 – 0 Nao Hibino (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Sakkari 2–0 Nao Hibino
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/24 Australian Open Women | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/01/20 Australian Open Women | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Sakkari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Yulia Starodubtsewa US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Robin Montgomery US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Nao Hibino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Kristina Mladenovic WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Aoi Ito WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Kai Ning Chanya Ng WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/09 | Magdalena Frech WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Nadiia Kichenok WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Sofiia Bielinska WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Lucie Havlickova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Anna Siskova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Sakkari vs Nao Hibino?
Our model gives 64% to Maria Sakkari, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.