Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 27/09, 08:00
Prediction: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Team pages: Alexandre Muller · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandre Muller
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandre Muller
6-4 (W-L)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandre Muller 1548 · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1582
| Alexandre Muller | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina dominates on serve: 6 aces and 40.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Alexandre Muller | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 2.2-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.4 | 15.6-12.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 29.3% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.3
Over 21.5: 59% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 41% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandre Muller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Moise Kouame ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Luka Pavlovic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Ziga Sesko Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Laslo Djere US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Coleman Wong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 24-31 | L |
| 03/07 | Marton Fucsovics Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Fabian Marozsan Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Our model gives 62% to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.