Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 27/09, 07:00
Prediction: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Team pages: Jenson Brooksby · Nikoloz Basilashvili
Prediction summary
Winner
Jenson Brooksby
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Estimated games
22.4Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jenson Brooksby
4-6 (W-L)
Nikoloz Basilashvili
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jenson Brooksby
1–2
Nikoloz Basilashvili
(3 last)
- 26 Mar2-0 12-4W
- 10 Aug1-2 10-14L
- 29 Aug1-3 19-23L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jenson Brooksby 1508 · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1529
| Jenson Brooksby | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jenson Brooksby 1–2 Nikoloz Basilashvili (3).
Statistics
| Jenson Brooksby | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.8 | 11.7-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 49% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 51% · 1.83
H2H · Jenson Brooksby 1 – 2 Nikoloz Basilashvili (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jenson Brooksby 1–2 Nikoloz Basilashvili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/22 ATP Miami | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/08/21 ATP Toronto | 1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/08/19 US Open | 1-3 | 19-23 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jenson Brooksby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Sebastian Baez ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Jaime Faria US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
| 25/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Hanlei Lu ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Seong Chan Hong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Our model gives 50% to Jenson Brooksby, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.