Tennis · Laver Cup · 26/09, 14:00
Prediction: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien
Team pages: Flavio Cobolli · Learner Tien
Prediction summary
Winner
Flavio Cobolli
Learner Tien
Estimated games
25.7Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Flavio Cobolli
3-7 (W-L)
Learner Tien
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Flavio Cobolli
1–1
Learner Tien
(2 last)
- 30 May3-0 18-7W
- 28 Sept0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flavio Cobolli 1524 · Learner Tien 1541
| Flavio Cobolli | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Flavio Cobolli dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 43% break avg.
Statistics
| Flavio Cobolli | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.6 | 1.8-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.8-15.7 | 14.8-13 |
| Aces | 6.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 43% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +6.2
Over 19.5: 86% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 14% · 1.80
H2H · Flavio Cobolli 1 – 1 Learner Tien (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Flavio Cobolli 1–1 Learner Tien
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 French Open | 3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 28/09/25 ATP Beijing | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flavio Cobolli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 13-24 | L |
| 03/09 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 01/09 | Francisco Comesana US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 23-23 | W |
| 22/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 15/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Learner Tien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Jiri Lehecka Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Jakub Mensik Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Karen Khachanov US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-29 | L |
| 06/09 | Jakub Mensik US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 25-23 | W |
| 04/09 | Gael Monfils US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Nuno Borges US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien?
Our model gives 61% to Learner Tien, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.