Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 01/10, 05:30

Prediction: Seiya Nakanishi vs Kenta Kawada

Team pages: Seiya Nakanishi · Kenta Kawada

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Seiya Nakanishi Kenta Kawada
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Seiya Nakanishi 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLW
Kenta Kawada 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seiya Nakanishi 1480 · Kenta Kawada 1464
Seiya NakanishiKenta Kawada
Our model52%48%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kenta Kawada makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Seiya NakanishiKenta Kawada
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.1-1.4
Games (G-P)6.4-10.711.3-11.7
Aces21.7
Double faults3.15
1st serve %60.4%62.8%
Break %42.9%41.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seiya Nakanishi

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Stefan Menichella
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
10/09 Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Sapporo
0-2 3-12 L
08/09 Kazushi Idogaki
M25 Sapporo
2-0 13-6 W
07/09 Makoto Ochi
M25 Sapporo
0-2 6-12 L
02/09 Naoya Honda
M25 Urayasu
0-2 0-12 L
31/08 Alejandro Hayen
M25 Urayasu
2-1 9-12 W
03/06 Tai Leonard Sach
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
01/06 Dong Kyu Lee
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-1 7-10 W
20/02 Naoki Nakagawa
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/02 Kazuma Kawachi
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Kenta Kawada

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/09 Natsuki Yamamoto
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 9-13 L
27/09 Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 17-17 L
27/09 Abdumalik Kamalov
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/09 Taki Adachi
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/09 Masaki Ishikawa
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/09 Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/09 Kotaro Mochizuki
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/08 Kanata Ozaki
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
11/08 Haru Kawanaka
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
10/08 Kotaro Mochizuki
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-1 14-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seiya Nakanishi vs Kenta Kawada?

Our model gives 56% to Seiya Nakanishi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.