Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 28/09, 06:30
Prediction: Seiya Nakanishi vs Natsuki Yamamoto
Team pages: Seiya Nakanishi · Natsuki Yamamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Seiya Nakanishi
Natsuki Yamamoto
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Seiya Nakanishi
2-8 (W-L)
Natsuki Yamamoto
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Seiya Nakanishi
0–1
Natsuki Yamamoto
(1 last)
- 28 Jan0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Seiya Nakanishi 1434 · Natsuki Yamamoto 1550
| Seiya Nakanishi | Natsuki Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Natsuki Yamamoto (rating 1434 vs 1550).
- Natsuki Yamamoto is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Seiya Nakanishi 0–1 Natsuki Yamamoto (1).
- Note: Natsuki Yamamoto makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Seiya Nakanishi | Natsuki Yamamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.7-11.2 | 11.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 29.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Seiya Nakanishi 0 – 1 Natsuki Yamamoto (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Seiya Nakanishi 0–1 Natsuki Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 UTR Pro Yokohama | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Seiya Nakanishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Kazushi Idogaki M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Makoto Ochi M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Alejandro Hayen M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 03/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Dong Kyu Lee M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-10 | W |
| 20/02 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Natsuki Yamamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Xin Zhou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Xin Zhou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 25/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Seiya Nakanishi vs Natsuki Yamamoto?
Our model gives 73% to Natsuki Yamamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.