Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 01/10, 03:30
Prediction: Lachlan King vs Kirill Kistanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Lachlan King
Kirill Kistanov
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lachlan King
4-6 (W-L)
Kirill Kistanov
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lachlan King
1–0
Kirill Kistanov
(1 last)
- 23 Sept2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lachlan King 1480 · Kirill Kistanov 1426
| Lachlan King | Kirill Kistanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lachlan King (rating 1480 vs 1426).
- Head-to-head: Lachlan King 1–0 Kirill Kistanov (1).
Statistics
| Lachlan King | Kirill Kistanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.2 | 10.6-13.1 |
| Aces | – | 1.7 |
| Double faults | – | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | – | 47.3% |
| Break % | – | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Lachlan King 1 – 0 Kirill Kistanov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lachlan King 1–0 Kirill Kistanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lachlan King
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/09 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Kuranosuke Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Sota Uranaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/05 | Wihan Van Der Merwe UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Sam Wensley UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Melbourne · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kirill Kistanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Shotaro Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Sota Uranaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Kuranosuke Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Mubarak Shannan Zayid Davis Cup |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Abdulhamid Mubarak Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Mohammed Al-Shammari Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lachlan King vs Kirill Kistanov?
Our model gives 70% to Lachlan King, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.