Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 01/10, 02:30
Prediction: Shotaro Yamamoto vs Yuga Tashiro
Team pages: Shotaro Yamamoto · Yuga Tashiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Shotaro Yamamoto
Yuga Tashiro
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Shotaro Yamamoto
5-5 (W-L)
Yuga Tashiro
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shotaro Yamamoto 1496 · Yuga Tashiro 1576
| Shotaro Yamamoto | Yuga Tashiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuga Tashiro (rating 1496 vs 1576).
- Yuga Tashiro is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Shotaro Yamamoto | Yuga Tashiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.1 | 12.5-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shotaro Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Riku Higashi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/04 | Niels Leth Jargin UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yuga Tashiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/09 | Kirill Kistanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Shohei Chikami UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Dan Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Yuto Miyagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shotaro Yamamoto vs Yuga Tashiro?
Our model gives 72% to Yuga Tashiro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.