Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 25/09, 07:40
Prediction: Naoki Nakagawa vs Corban Crowther
Team pages: Naoki Nakagawa · Corban Crowther
Prediction summary
Winner
Naoki Nakagawa
Corban Crowther
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Naoki Nakagawa
8-2 (W-L)
Corban Crowther
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoki Nakagawa 1594 · Corban Crowther 1546
| Naoki Nakagawa | Corban Crowther | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naoki Nakagawa (rating 1594 vs 1546).
- Naoki Nakagawa dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 52% break avg.
Statistics
| Naoki Nakagawa | Corban Crowther | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-8.9 | 10.6-8.2 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 81.7% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 52% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoki Nakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Yua Taka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Max Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Cooper Woestendick M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/08 | Clement Chidekh M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Corban Crowther
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Bali |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Nick Beamish M15 Bali |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Keishi Hashimoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Manato Uchida UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/08 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/08 | Taichi Wakamatsu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Yuki Karatsu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naoki Nakagawa vs Corban Crowther?
Our model gives 73% to Naoki Nakagawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.