Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 25/09, 07:00
Prediction: Natsuki Yamamoto vs Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
Team pages: Natsuki Yamamoto · Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
Prediction summary
Winner
Natsuki Yamamoto
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Natsuki Yamamoto
3-7 (W-L)
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natsuki Yamamoto 1487 · Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras 1498
| Natsuki Yamamoto | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Natsuki Yamamoto makes many double faults (6.2/match).
- Note: Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Natsuki Yamamoto | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.4 | 10.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 27.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natsuki Yamamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Xin Zhou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/09 | Xin Zhou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 25/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ku Keon Kang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Yu Tanaka M15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Liam Youn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/04 | Ren Nakamura M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Ying Hou M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/04 | Jack McGary M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Ids Waterbolk ITF M25 Manzanillo |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Michael Dylan Jimenez UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natsuki Yamamoto vs Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras?
Our model gives 57% to Natsuki Yamamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.