Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 25/09, 09:00
Prediction: Ryota Tanuma vs Hunter Heck
Team pages: Ryota Tanuma · Hunter Heck
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryota Tanuma
Hunter Heck
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ryota Tanuma
4-6 (W-L)
Hunter Heck
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryota Tanuma
1–1
Hunter Heck
(2 last)
- 24 Jun2-0 13-8W
- 05 Mar0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryota Tanuma 1498 · Hunter Heck 1562
| Ryota Tanuma | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hunter Heck (rating 1498 vs 1562).
Statistics
| Ryota Tanuma | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.2 | 10.7-8.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 54% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 0% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
H2H · Ryota Tanuma 1 – 1 Hunter Heck (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryota Tanuma 1–1 Hunter Heck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/03/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Mao Takada M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Yuta Kawahashi M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Hunter Heck
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ethan Cook Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nam Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryota Tanuma vs Hunter Heck?
Our model gives 59% to Hunter Heck, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.