Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 26/09, 05:00
Prediction: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Team pages: Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
4-6 (W-L)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0–2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
(2 last)
- 29 Jun0-3 14-19L
- 31 Aug0-3 8-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1512 · Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1581
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (rating 1512 vs 1581).
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0–2 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2).
Statistics
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 2.2-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.5 | 15.7-12.3 |
| Aces | 6 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 75.8% |
| Break % | 28.1% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.1
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.80
H2H · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0 – 2 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Manuel Cerundolo 0–2 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/26 Wimbledon | 0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 31/08/23 US Open | 0-3 | 8-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Yi Zhou ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 27/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Felix Auger Aliassime ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 14/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Casper Ruud ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Felix Auger Aliassime Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 24-31 | L |
| 03/07 | Marton Fucsovics Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Fabian Marozsan Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Adam Walton ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Our model gives 60% to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.