Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 25/09, 05:45
Prediction: Kenta Kawada vs Taki Adachi
Team pages: Kenta Kawada · Taki Adachi
Prediction summary
Winner
Kenta Kawada
Taki Adachi
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kenta Kawada
2-8 (W-L)
Taki Adachi
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kenta Kawada 1473 · Taki Adachi 1405
| Kenta Kawada | Taki Adachi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Kawada (rating 1473 vs 1405).
- Note: Kenta Kawada makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Kenta Kawada | Taki Adachi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.2 | 8-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 35% | 32.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kenta Kawada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Rin Kojima M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
| 20/05 | Kazuki Nishiwaki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Kazuki Aihara UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Taki Adachi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Ryder Jackson M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 21/02 | Ren Machida UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/02 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Yamato Yukawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Ewan Ogura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kenta Kawada vs Taki Adachi?
Our model gives 63% to Kenta Kawada, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.