Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 26/09, 07:00
Prediction: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller
Team pages: Federico Cina · Alexandre Muller
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Cina
Alexandre Muller
Estimated games
21.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Cina
5-5 (W-L)
Alexandre Muller
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federico Cina
0–1
Alexandre Muller
(1 last)
- 31 Mar0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Cina 1499 · Alexandre Muller 1534
| Federico Cina | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Federico Cina 0–1 Alexandre Muller (1).
Statistics
| Federico Cina | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.7 | 10.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.2
Over 22.5: 42% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 58% · 1.83
H2H · Federico Cina 0 – 1 Alexandre Muller (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Cina 0–1 Alexandre Muller
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/26 ATP Marrakech | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Cina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Kaichi Uchida ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Alex Michelsen US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 28/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Hugo Dellien US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Elias Ymer Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Alexandre Muller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Moise Kouame ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Luka Pavlovic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Ziga Sesko Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Laslo Djere US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Coleman Wong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller?
Our model gives 51% to Alexandre Muller, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.