Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 26/09, 07:00
Prediction: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic Van De Zandschulp
Team pages: Nikoloz Basilashvili · Botic Van De Zandschulp
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikoloz Basilashvili
6-4 (W-L)
Botic Van De Zandschulp
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1512 · Botic Van De Zandschulp 1553
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botic Van De Zandschulp (rating 1512 vs 1553).
- Botic Van De Zandschulp dominates on serve: 10.3 aces and 50.9% break avg.
- Note: Nikoloz Basilashvili makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Botic Van De Zandschulp makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.9 | 16.3-13.7 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 10.3 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Hanlei Lu ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Seong Chan Hong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jan Choinski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Davis Cup |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/09 | Alexander Zverev US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 29-29 | W |
| 05/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-27 | W |
| 04/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Jan Choinski US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?
Our model gives 61% to Botic Van De Zandschulp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.