Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 24/09, 08:30
Prediction: Moise Kouame vs Alexandre Muller
Team pages: Moise Kouame · Alexandre Muller
Prediction summary
Winner
Moise Kouame
Alexandre Muller
Estimated games
22.2Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moise Kouame
6-4 (W-L)
Alexandre Muller
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moise Kouame 1490 · Alexandre Muller 1513
| Moise Kouame | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Moise Kouame | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.6 | 11.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 73% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.3
Over 23.5: 41% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 59% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moise Kouame
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Florent Bax Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 21/08 | Roman Andres Burruchaga Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alexandre Muller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Luka Pavlovic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Ziga Sesko Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Laslo Djere US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Coleman Wong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 29/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moise Kouame vs Alexandre Muller?
Our model gives 50% to Moise Kouame, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.