Tennis · ATP Chengdu · 24/09, 08:30
Prediction: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Team pages: Miomir Kecmanovic · Nikoloz Basilashvili
Prediction summary
Winner
Miomir Kecmanovic
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Miomir Kecmanovic
6-4 (W-L)
Nikoloz Basilashvili
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Miomir Kecmanovic
1–0
Nikoloz Basilashvili
(1 last)
- 29 Apr2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miomir Kecmanovic 1480 · Nikoloz Basilashvili 1489
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Miomir Kecmanovic 1–0 Nikoloz Basilashvili (1).
- Note: Nikoloz Basilashvili makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-14.4 | 11.6-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 72% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.3
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.80
H2H · Miomir Kecmanovic 1 – 0 Nikoloz Basilashvili (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miomir Kecmanovic 1–0 Nikoloz Basilashvili
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/22 ATP Munich | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miomir Kecmanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Edas Butvilas Davis Cup |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Denis Shapovalov US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 26/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Nikoloz Basilashvili
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Hanlei Lu ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Seong Chan Hong US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Jan Choinski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miomir Kecmanovic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Our model gives 58% to Miomir Kecmanovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.