Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 24/09, 17:00
Prediction: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Juan Pablo Ficovich · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Pablo Ficovich
3-7 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Pablo Ficovich 1430 · Alex Barrena 1560
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 68% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Barrena (rating 1430 vs 1560).
- Alex Barrena is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-13.2 | 12.1-10.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 64% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Valentin Garay Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 64% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.