Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 25/09, 17:00
Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Juan Pablo Varillas
Prediction summary
Winner
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Juan Pablo Varillas
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
9-1 (W-L)
Juan Pablo Varillas
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1613 · Juan Pablo Varillas 1569
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Juan Pablo Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1613 vs 1569).
Statistics
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Juan Pablo Varillas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (5) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-6.9 | 14.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/08 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Juan Pablo Varillas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/09 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 11/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Juan Pablo Varillas?
Our model gives 60% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.