Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 27/09, 18:00
Prediction: Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena
Team pages: Alex Barrena · Facundo Mena
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Barrena
Facundo Mena
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Barrena
7-3 (W-L)
Facundo Mena
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Barrena 1596 · Facundo Mena 1645
| Alex Barrena | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Mena (rating 1596 vs 1645).
Statistics
| Alex Barrena | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.2 | 11.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Valentin Garay Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
Facundo Mena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Renzo Olivo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena?
Our model gives 55% to Facundo Mena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.