Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 26/09, 21:00
Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
9-1 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
0–1
Alex Barrena
(1 last)
- 21 Nov1-2 8-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1613 · Alex Barrena 1585
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 0–1 Alex Barrena (1).
Statistics
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-7.1 | 12.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 0 – 1 Alex Barrena (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 0–1 Alex Barrena
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/24 ITF M15 Azul | 1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/08 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alex Barrena
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Valentin Garay Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 60% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.