Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 25/09, 21:30
Prediction: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Alex Barrena
Team pages: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo · Alex Barrena
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Alex Barrena
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Barrena
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1510 · Alex Barrena 1579
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Barrena (rating 1510 vs 1579).
- Alex Barrena is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | Alex Barrena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.1 | 12.5-10 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Valentin Garay Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Alex Barrena?
Our model gives 52% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.