Tennis · Challenger Buenos Aires · 24/09, 17:00

Prediction: Federico Coria vs Eduardo Ribeiro

Team pages: Federico Coria · Eduardo Ribeiro

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Federico Coria Eduardo Ribeiro
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Coria 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLLL
Eduardo Ribeiro 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federico Coria 1447 · Eduardo Ribeiro 1494
Federico CoriaEduardo Ribeiro
Our model43%57%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eduardo Ribeiro (rating 1447 vs 1494).

Statistics

Federico CoriaEduardo Ribeiro
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 29% (7) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.51-1.3
Games (G-P)9.2-12.210.8-12.2
Aces22.1
Double faults2.62.3
1st serve %64.1%64.8%
Break %48.3%34.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federico Coria

LLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Lucio Ratti
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
2-1 19-15 W
25/08 Clement Chidekh
US Open · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/07 Francesco Forti
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
18/07 Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
12/07 Taro Daniel
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
09/07 Guy Den Ouden
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
24/06 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
22/06 Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
16/06 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
11/06 Andrea Collarini
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-0 14-11 W

Eduardo Ribeiro

LWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Pedro Martinez
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
01/09 Pedro Vives Marcos
Challenger Porto · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
31/08 Jelle Sels
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-1 17-16 W
30/08 Nicolas Barrientos
Challenger Porto · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
24/08 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
1-2 9-18 L
17/08 Sumit Nagal
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
12/08 Niels McDonald
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
10/08 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
04/08 George Lazarov
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
08/07 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federico Coria vs Eduardo Ribeiro?

Our model gives 60% to Eduardo Ribeiro, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.